The 2.8% Signal: Why Illinoisโ Digital Asset Tax Lawsuit Might Be the Real Market Catalyst No One Is Watching
A single data point: Polymarket assigns a 2.8% probability to Bitcoin trading...
regulatory lawsuit related articles
A single data point: Polymarket assigns a 2.8% probability to Bitcoin trading...
Fear
Market Sentiment
Team and early investor shares released
92 million ARB released
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Block reward halving event
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Bitcoin Season